UFC236 Betting Tips & Plays
View the MMABETMACHINE Stakes for UFC236 under:
Israel Adesanya Breakdown
Adesanya comes into this fight with a lot of advantages over the considerably smaller Gastelum, who is giving up almost 9 inches of reach. On the feet it’s the technical buildup strategy of Adesanya that can give him a substantial advantage. He’s got a far more varied arsenal with powerful leg kicks a strong option against Kelvin, who will have to remain volatile to have any expectation closing the distance that is striking. Defensively Adesanya is sound, rolling with punches and never committing himself to be vulnerable to counter shots. He’s a slow starter but ends up the volume when he has a stronger feel for his opponent.
Gastelum has fast boxing combinations and has utilized this to score some notable finishes. The standard of Kelvin’s resistance is questionable with lots of elderly fighters crumbling after getting caught by his superior speed or cardio. Gastelum includes a wrestling foundation but has not made a focus of the UFC run. In this battle the dimensions and takedown defense of Adesanya must mean this stays standing. Kelvin has limited paths to victory outside of landing a flush KO shooter and awarded the reach and protection of Adesanya that does seem unlikely.
Since going up to Middleweight Gastelum has managed to be impressive regardless of his height and reach. Weidman revealed us that size can be a large factor in which the older fighters of this division were not able to press the advantage. Adesanya should have the ability to control this battle to stay position, where he will be able to design on Gastelum from range. Round you can be shut but past that it will be just one way traffic. A late end or comfy decision appear equally likely.Dustin Poirier Breakdown
These guys struggle in what ought to be an extremely competitive struggle. Both guys favour their striking with Holloway’s volume style according to Poirier’s technical fundamentals combined with astonishing power. The public seem to be all over Holloway after his impressive Ortega win and thus the bookie has him lined a substantial favorite. While his boxing and cardio is unmatched at 145lb, it could be another story here. Poirier hits very difficult, with much more energy than anything Max might have undergone in recent times. If there was a weakness Holloway’s match it is that he takes too many clean shots, and there is absolutely no reason a clear one from Poirier can’t finish the struggle.
This battle is likely to start off in Poirier’s favour because he lands the more impacting shots and uses his reach advantage. Holloway will need to endure until the later rounds in a bid to overwhelm Poirier with his pace and cardio. Dustin is no slouch in this region and is very tough to put himself away. We view this as an early stoppage to get Poirier or near decision headed into the judges. The middle rounds will be crucial in deciding the winner. In +180 the value is clear, back the dangerous fighter that has firmly established himself on top of their toughest division in the sport.
Bet = Poirier in 2.80 (+180) chances. Risk 4 Units to acquire 7.2 Units.
Eryk Anders Breakdown
Rountree is a dangerous striker, equally powerful and fast, but his one dimensional gameplan makes him quite beatable. Of most concern is his gasoline tank that’s quickly depleted as he spams power shots . Furthermore his wrestling and grappling is below average. Rountree is coming from a big KO loss to Johnny Walker.
Anders is very durable and has a basic but harmful striking style himself. The trick to success is going to be his superior pressure as he can mix in takedowns to wear Rountree out, negating his power. Rountree is stuck at the bottom of the rankings in contrast to Anders who lately had aggressive match with the name challenger Santos. Start looking for him to survive a few early temptations to then implement his wrestling and then take over the struggle beyond round one.
Bet = Anders in 1.54 (-185) chances. Risk 3 Units to acquire 1.62 Units.
Alan Jouban Breakdown
Jouban comes into this fight with much more experience but also a 5??? reach drawback. Grant is 34 decades old and improbable to make huge strides in his overall game. He doesn’t look very impressive with sloppy method but does have large power to land the kill shot. Jouban’s durability is an issue but he is the much superior fighter. Start looking for him to bring a wise game-plan for this one and use his arsenal to out strike Grant. Jouban has sneaky power himself but a choice is also likely. .
Bet = Jouban at 2.0 (+100) chances. Risk 3 Units to acquire 3.0 Units.
Max Griffin Breakdown
Imadaev is quite unproven and at only 24 years old has been winning against inferior opposition on the regional scene. He looks to be getting a great deal of respect from the odds makers, possibly due to his Russian heritage. This is a big step up against Max Griffin who is a tough UFC veteran. He brings solid boxing and electricity and can mix in the odd takedown when required. Griffin’s question mark is certainly his durability, as he gets rocked in the majority of fights, but he’s a fighters mentality for coming back from hardship. Imadaev could be the real deal in which case this is likely to be an action packed affair. Otherwise look for Griffin to box up the inexperienced newcomer. At slight underdog odds we like a wager on the more established fighter.
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