UFC 196: Betting Odds and Predictions
Conor McGregor vs Nate Diaz might not be the superfight we had been anticipating, but it’s absolutely one of the most exciting matchups we could have hoped to watch as MMA lovers. UFC 196 will not just feature McGregor vs Diaz, it will likewise see Holly Holm put her bantamweight title on the line for the very first time when she chooses on Miesha Tate.
Conor McGregor (-400) vs Nate Diaz (+300)
We’ve got the featherweight champion taking on the ranked lightweight in a welterweight battle. Yeah, this fight is going to be a bit odd.
McGregor makes his initial appearance in the Octagon since dusting Jose Aldo in 13 seconds to win the featherweight title. Considering joining the UFC back in 2013, McGregor is 7-0 with six of the victories coming via stoppage.
Much has been made of McGregor’s striking style and the crushing knockout power the Irishman owns. His standup game is based within a vertical posture which allows McGregor to throw his kicks without exerting excess time or energy. He has become an expert at using his teammates to make the distance that he can use to open his arsenal of attacks. The swiftness and brutality of those attacks are unparalleled in MMA today.
The biggest question mark in this fight is size. McGregor is fighting 170 pounds for the first time in his profession; a jump of 25 lbs in contrast to his final struggle, and will be in a reach disadvantage for the first time inside the UFC. ‘The Notorious One’ consistently held a distinct advantage in size at the lower weight classes, but Nate is about four inches taller and includes a two-inch reach advantage.
Diaz owns a fighting style that’s uniquely suited to him and his brother Nick. He’s a volume fighter and foremost on his feet, meaning he throws punches in bunches and loves to be competitive. The Stockton-native is good at maintaining his distance, quickly moving in to throw a flurry and then getting back to space. Diaz pairs his striking skills with a phenomenal floor game which has resulted in 11 of his 18 career wins coming via entry.
Despite his powerful ground game, Diaz is not able to truly utilize it thanks to some bad wrestling match. It seems that Diaz will often try to taunt his opponents into a location where they go for the takedown and that he can perform his job. Although his striking game is strong, it’s far from perfect as it entails a very simple attack with few unpredictable components.
Can Diaz submit McGregor? Yes. Can he get the chance to? Not likely.
This is predicted to become a standup affair and though Diaz is a capable striker, he does not have the same degree of abilities that McGregor does. Conor has great movement abilities, which ought to help him overcome his attain disadvantage and pick up the win in this one.
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