UFC FN151 Betting Tips & Plays
View the MMABETMACHINE Stakes for UFC FN151 under:
Shane Burgos Free Breakdown
At 28 decades of age, Burgos is coming into his prime as he takes on the veteran Cub Swanson. He will have a substantial advantage benefit of 5.5 inches and is overall a considerably bigger featherweight. At the pocket Burgos is vastly more specialized with crisp mixes and dangerous power. He comes from a good camp but his principal weakness appears to be defense, where he’s left himself vulnerable to strikes and been hurt in several recent conflicts.
Swanson is a far more unorthadox and crazy fighter and his style looks to fight against more technical competition. He’s on a significant losing streak where he has appeared vulnerable and flat in every struggle. It seems Cub is really on a a recession which is not surprising given his own age in a division where speed is king. It should be noted that most of Cub’s losses have come to top 10 opposition, but it is his lack of competitiveness which raise a red flag.
This fight should be entertaining with both men willing to stand and trade. In the improbable event that Swanson can reignite his early career performances this might be a close fight, but we expect to see a falling veteran who can not keep up with the technical young talent. Back Burgos to get the win here, probably in the distance.Brad Katona Breakdown
Katona, winner of TUF and also the hometown fighter is taking about the ever relentless Merab Dvalishvili. Katona has considerably better striking compared to his opponent and retains a BJJ blackbelt. In his career he has not shown the most effective initial takedown defense but he uses his grappling talents to remain dangerous and make scrambles. Thus far he’s shown a strong ability to contact his feet. Dvalishvili is essential standing, mostly throwing his looping right hand to prepare level changes. He averages an absurd amount of takedown efforts each struggle, compounded by the fact he struggles to keep top position for long periods.
In this fight it’s likely Dvalishvili does land takedowns however Katona has plenty of skills to prevent getting stuck on his back. More time on the feet for Katona means he’ll maintain control, landing hurt and accumulating rounds. This should be a close fight where the value lies with the local underdog.
Bet = Katona at 2.65 (+165) odds. Risk 2 Units to win 3.30 Units.
Nordine Taleb Breakdown
Kyle Prepolec is coming to this fight on short notice and combined with the fact he’s fighting a branch his chances appear slim. Taleb is a well rounded fighter who has a substantial advantage in all areas of the fight. On the feet he is defensively noise and fights long with his jab, straight punches and leg kicks to set the space. Prepolec enjoys to get in close but leaves himself open when entering the pocket. His strikes are he ought to be receptive to counters in Taleb. Size will also be a large factor in which Prepolec has shown a inclination to get out muscled in the grappling section by far smaller and not as gifted fighters than Taleb. This is likely his safest path to success where he probably dominates to set up a finish. On short notice introduction there are simply too many barriers to conquer and whilst the chances are brief, this seems to be a simple win.
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